英镑“冰火两重天”：兑美元势将创八年最大涨幅，兑欧元却为五年来最差表现

Group 1 - The British pound has slightly weakened against the US dollar but is on track for its largest annual gain in eight years, with a year-to-date increase of 7.5% [1] - The pound has depreciated against the euro, expected to be the worst-performing major European currency in 2025, with a projected decline of over 5% [1] - Other currencies such as the euro, Swiss franc, Norwegian krone, and Swedish krona have appreciated between 13% to 19% against the US dollar this year [1] Group 2 - Domestic political concerns and worries about public finances are suppressing the pound's momentum, despite its strong performance against a weak dollar [2] - The focus for forex traders is on the upcoming autumn budget, which has eased some pressure on the pound in the second half of the year [2] - The performance of the pound in 2026 may depend on the Bank of England's monetary policy actions, with expectations of further interest rate cuts due to economic slowdown and a weak labor market [3] - Market expectations indicate a 60% chance of a second rate cut by the end of next year, with about 40 basis points of easing anticipated [3]