Will FD rates bounce back in 2026 after big fall in 2025? Here’s how you can make the best of FD investment
The Economic Times·2025-12-31 11:42

Core Viewpoint - The fixed deposit (FD) rates have been reduced significantly due to the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) repo rate cuts, and the outlook for 2026 suggests that rates may remain stable or trend slightly lower rather than increase sharply [1][5][10] Group 1: FD Rate Changes and Influences - In 2025, banks and small finance banks (SFBs) cut FD interest rates multiple times following a total repo rate cut of 125 basis points by the RBI [9][10] - The last repo rate cut occurred in December 2025, when the RBI reduced the rate by 25 basis points [1][10] - The transmission of these rate cuts into FD rates takes time, and the full impact of previous cuts is still unfolding, which may take months to years [2][10] Group 2: Future Expectations for FD Rates - Swapnil Aggarwal, Director at VSRK Capital, anticipates that FD rates in 2026 are more likely to remain stable or trend slightly lower, contingent on controlled inflation and a more accommodative monetary policy [5][6] - A significant resurgence in inflation or unexpected economic stress is deemed unlikely to lead to a sharp increase in FD rates, suggesting a stable-to-soft outlook for deposit rates [6][10] Group 3: Investment Strategies Amidst Rate Changes - Investors may consider reallocating a portion of their savings to high-quality debt funds if FD rates decline, as these funds can benefit from falling yields [7][8] - Conversely, during rising rate periods, it is advisable to maintain short-term FDs to allow gradual reinvestment at higher rates as they become available [8][9] - Diversification across FDs, debt funds, and hybrid funds is recommended to manage risk while optimizing returns [9][10] Group 4: Current FD Rates at Major Banks - The highest FD rates at major banks include Bandhan Bank at 7.2%, RBL Bank at 7.2%, and IDFC FIRST Bank at 7% for specific tenures [3][4]