“钨涨刀贵”成主旋律 2026年行业整体盈利水平或进一步提升|2025年终大盘点
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-31 13:01

Core Viewpoint - The tungsten price increase has led to higher costs for hard alloy tools, prompting manufacturers to raise prices, with expectations for growth in the industry, particularly in high-end sectors due to domestic substitution opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The hard alloy tool industry is experiencing a recovery after a period of consolidation, with increased growth expectations for the coming year, especially in high-end manufacturing sectors such as AI, humanoid robots, and semiconductor equipment [1]. - The demand for tools in emerging industries is rising, driven by technological breakthroughs, which is expected to boost sales of high-value-added products [1][4]. - The precision tool industry has a high user stickiness, with tool costs representing only 1%-4% of manufacturing costs, but their quality significantly impacts processing precision and product quality [4]. Group 2: Price Adjustments and Financial Performance - Tool manufacturers, including Zhongtung High-tech, have implemented multiple price increases in 2025 to address rising raw material costs, with adjustments varying by product type based on cost structure and market conditions [2][3]. - In Q3, leading tool companies reported significant profit increases, with Huari Precision's net profit rising by 915.62% year-on-year, attributed to improved downstream demand and enhanced product performance [3]. - Other companies like Okoyi and Zhongtung High-tech also reported substantial profit growth in Q3, with net profits increasing by 69.31% and 36.53% respectively [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The domestic tool industry is expected to move away from previous low performance, showing signs of recovery, particularly in high-end manufacturing sectors [3]. - The demand for tungsten remains strong, with expectations for prices to stay high, allowing companies to effectively transfer costs to downstream customers through price adjustments [5]. - The trend of domestic substitution in the high-end hard alloy tool market is gaining momentum, with emerging industry demand seen as a key opportunity for domestic companies to penetrate the high-end market by 2026 [5].