3 Transportation Stocks Up More Than 30% in 2025 to Buy for Next Year
ZACKS·2025-12-31 16:01

Core Insights - The transportation sector in 2025 has faced challenges due to tariff issues, supply-chain crises, and low freight demand, compounded by geopolitical tensions and a prolonged U.S. government shutdown. However, declining oil prices and cost-cutting measures have positively impacted profitability [1]. Industry Overview - Oil prices are expected to remain low in 2026, benefiting transportation stocks as fuel costs are a significant expense for these companies. The average price of West Texas Intermediate crude is projected at $65.32 per barrel in 2026, down from $76.60 in 2025. Jet fuel costs are also expected to decrease to $88 per barrel in 2026 from $90 in 2025, with the total fuel bill anticipated to be $252 billion in 2026 [2][3]. Macroeconomic Factors - The macroeconomic environment is showing signs of improvement as inflation in the U.S. is declining, despite remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The Fed has implemented three rate cuts in 2025, which may support the transportation sector [4]. Shipping Industry Insights - The shipping industry is expected to benefit from a supportive macro backdrop, with capsize bulk carriers positioned well due to strong demand for iron ore and bauxite. The recent increase in dry bulk rates is likely to continue into the next year [5]. Cost Control and E-commerce - Ongoing cost-control efforts amid soft freight demand are expected to enhance profitability. The strength of e-commerce continues to be a significant tailwind for the sector, while steady air travel demand is encouraging for airlines despite economic headwinds [6]. Stock Recommendations - Three transportation stocks are highlighted for potential investment: Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD), Global Ship Lease (GSL), and LATAM Airlines (LTM). These stocks carry Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and are expected to deliver healthy returns [6]. Company Performance - Expeditors is benefiting from cost cuts and e-commerce strength, with a 7.6% EPS estimate increase for 2026. The company has a strong earnings surprise history, with an average surprise of 13.9% over the last four quarters [9][11]. - Global Ship Lease has a diversified fleet and has consistently outperformed earnings estimates, with a 16.8% average earnings beat and a 3.1% upward revision to its 2026 EPS view [9][12]. - LATAM Airlines is experiencing growth due to its lean cost structure and improved air travel demand, with a 4.5% upward revision to its 2026 EPS estimates and an average earnings surprise of 29.8% over the last four quarters [9][14].