金山软件:AI赋能办公软件,游戏业务求变,预测Q4一致预期营收25.55~35.04亿元,同比变动-8.5%~25.5%
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-31 16:00

Core Viewpoint - The forecast for Kingsoft's Q4 2025 performance indicates a potential decline in revenue and net profit, with expected revenue ranging from 2.555 to 3.504 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year change of -8.5% to 25.5%, and net profit expected between 307 to 761 million yuan, with a year-on-year change of -33.3% to 65.3% [1][8] Financial Performance Forecast - Q4 revenue forecast: 25.55 to 35.04 billion yuan, year-on-year change of -8.5% to 25.5% [1][8] - Q4 net profit forecast: 3.07 to 7.61 billion yuan, year-on-year change of -33.3% to 65.3% [1][8] - Average revenue forecast: 28.76 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.0% [3] - Median revenue forecast: 28.35 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.5% [3] Business Segment Insights - WPS Office: Global monthly active devices reached 669 million, with a total of 41.79 million paid users, and B-end WPS365 revenue increased by 71.61% year-on-year [4][5][11] - Gaming: The gaming segment is facing short-term challenges, with a 47.4% year-on-year decline in revenue primarily due to poor performance of the game "Jie Xian Ji" [6][12] - Overall company revenue is expected to decline by 17.0% year-on-year, with net profit down by 48.5%, attributed to poor gaming performance and increased marketing expenses [12] Future Growth Projections - Expected revenue for 2024: 5.121 billion yuan from office software and 5.197 billion yuan from gaming, maintaining a gross margin above 80% [4][11] - Projected revenue growth for 2025-2027: 10.568 billion yuan, 11.608 billion yuan, and 13.400 billion yuan, with growth rates of +2.43%, +9.83%, and +15.44% respectively [4][11]