Warren Buffett’s blind spot: Did the digital economy leave him behind?

Core Insights - Warren Buffett's investment performance has been significantly better in the first half of his career compared to the last eighteen years, with a million dollars invested in the S&P since 2007 yielding $6.6 million, while Berkshire Hathaway would have returned $5.3 million [1][2] - The evolution of Buffett's investment strategy can be divided into two distinct periods: Value 1.0, focused on undervalued companies, and Value 2.0, which emphasized strong, growing businesses [3][7][8] Investment Performance - A million dollars invested with Buffett from 1957 to 2007 would have grown to nearly $81 billion, while the same amount in the S&P would have reached $166 million [2] - In the last eighteen years, Buffett's performance has lagged behind the S&P, indicating a shift in investment dynamics [1][4] Value Investing Evolution - Value 1.0 involved investing in "cigar butt" companies, which were undervalued based on liquidation value, while Value 2.0 focused on businesses with strong earning potential and competitive advantages [7][8] - Buffett's partnership with Charlie Munger led to a shift from Value 1.0 to Value 2.0, emphasizing the importance of a company's ability to generate profits over time [8][9] Market Dynamics - The late 20th century saw stable competitive dynamics, allowing Buffett to invest confidently in dominant companies, but the rise of digital technology has disrupted these traditional models [12][19] - The advent of digital platforms has created new challenges for traditional businesses, as seen in the decline of mass media and the increasing irrelevance of brick-and-mortar banks [19][20] Technological Adaptation - Buffett has been slow to adapt to the digital age, missing opportunities in major tech companies like Amazon and Alphabet, which have outperformed traditional investments [25][30] - The shift towards asset-light business models in technology has changed the landscape, making it essential for investors to recalibrate their strategies [33][35] Future of Value Investing - The investment landscape has evolved, necessitating a new approach to value investing that incorporates the growth potential of technology companies [34][39] - Successful value investors are now adapting their strategies to include tech investments, recognizing the importance of innovation and reinvestment in driving future growth [39]