What to Expect From Dow's Q4 2025 Earnings Report

Company Overview - Dow Inc. has a market cap of $16.6 billion and operates as a global materials science company, providing innovative solutions across packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer markets [1] - The company operates through three segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings, offering a diverse portfolio of plastics, chemicals, coatings, and specialty materials [1] Financial Performance - Dow is set to announce its fiscal Q4 2025 results on January 29, with analysts expecting an adjusted loss of $0.45 per share [2] - For fiscal 2025, analysts project an adjusted loss of $1.03 per share, a significant decline from an adjusted EPS of $1.71 in fiscal 2024, but a rebound is anticipated in fiscal 2026 with an estimated 81.6% year-over-year improvement, narrowing the adjusted loss to $0.19 per share [3] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, Dow's stock has dropped 41.7%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which increased by 16.9%, and the State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF, which rose by 7.7% [4] - Despite reporting weaker-than-expected Q3 2025 revenue of $9.97 billion, Dow's shares surged nearly 13% on October 23 due to a smaller-than-expected adjusted loss of $0.19 per share, attributed to strong cost discipline and higher volumes from new assets [5] Analyst Ratings - The consensus view among analysts on Dow stock is cautious, with an overall "Hold" rating; of the 20 analysts covering the stock, two recommend a "Strong Buy," 17 give a "Hold," and one has a "Strong Sell" [6] - The average analyst price target for Dow is $26.83, indicating a potential upside of 14.9% from current levels [6]