山西证券:政策赋能商业航天进入发展快车道,需求驱动碳纤维行业底部确认
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-01 01:14

Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace industry is entering a rapid development phase driven by policy support, which will significantly boost the carbon fiber market, with demand expected to double within five years [1] Industry Summary - The National Space Administration of China released an action plan on November 25, 2025, aiming for a highly efficient and collaborative commercial aerospace ecosystem by 2027 [1] - The carbon fiber composite market in commercial aerospace is projected to grow from a hundred-ton level to a thousand-ton level in demand [1] - In 2025, China's actual carbon fiber consumption is expected to reach 96,446 tons, a year-on-year increase of 71.89%, primarily driven by the wind power blade and aerospace sectors [1] Company Summary - Companies that can consistently supply high-performance products are gradually regaining pricing power due to upgrades in application sectors [1] - On December 12, 2025, Toray announced a price increase of 10%-20% for its TORAYCA™ carbon fiber and related intermediate products, effective for orders shipped from January 2026 [1] - On December 15, 2025, Jilin Chemical Fiber announced price increases for its wet method 12TK carbon fiber and 3K carbon fiber, with increases of 5,000 yuan and 10,000 yuan per ton, respectively, effective January 1, 2026 [1] - The high-end carbon fiber industry is expected to enter a new phase of high-quality growth due to optimized supply-demand relationships and accelerated technological breakthroughs [1] - Key companies to watch in the carbon fiber sector include Jilin Chemical Fiber, Zhongfu Shenying, Zhongjian Technology, and Guangwei Composites [1]

SHANXI SECURITIES-山西证券:政策赋能商业航天进入发展快车道,需求驱动碳纤维行业底部确认 - Reportify