XRP ETFs Pull In $1.3B in 50 Days—What the Data Suggests if Flows Reach $5B

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant institutional interest in XRP ETFs, demonstrating a shift from speculative trading to structural market changes driven by consistent allocations and liquidity constraints [6][23][24]. Group 1: Institutional Adoption and Flows - Grayscale's GXRP fund has successfully leveraged existing relationships, managing over $220 million with stable capital flows, indicating strong institutional commitment [2][4]. - Daily inflows into XRP ETFs have averaged $27.7 million, with a total of $1.3 billion absorbed in just 50 days, showcasing a durable allocation trend rather than event-driven trading [5][6][13]. - Canary Capital's XRPC fund launched with $250 million on day one and currently holds approximately $384 million, reflecting a preference for liquidity and early access among institutions despite lower-fee competitors [4][10]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Supply Constraints - XRP ETFs have locked 746 million XRP, representing 1.14% of the circulating supply, with minimal redemptions, indicating a tightening of available liquidity in the market [5][8][15]. - Exchange balances of XRP fell by 58% in 2025, further constraining liquidity as institutional capital moves into long-term custody [7][15]. - If XRP ETF inflows reach $5 billion, an estimated 2.6 billion XRP would be locked, increasing the locked supply to approximately 4% of the circulating total [14][24]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Future Projections - Franklin Templeton's XRPZ fund adopted a cost leadership strategy with a 0.19% expense ratio, raising over $190 million, which may attract cost-conscious investors [9][10]. - The potential entry of BlackRock into the XRP ETF market could significantly accelerate inflows, as the firm has a history of mobilizing substantial institutional capital [19][20]. - The expansion of Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin could create additional demand for XRP, shifting its narrative from a speculative asset to a payments infrastructure token [21][22].