美威胁封锁委受制裁油轮 意图扰动能源市场

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. has announced a maritime blockade against sanctioned oil tankers entering and exiting Venezuela, aiming to cut off the country's energy lifeline, but experts believe Venezuela has the technical capabilities to withstand this pressure, making U.S. political calculations unlikely to succeed [1]. Group 1: Current Situation in Venezuela - Oil production and export activities in the western oil hub of Maracaibo are still proceeding normally despite U.S. actions [3]. - Venezuela's heavy crude oil production and processing heavily rely on imported diluents from countries like Iran, raising concerns that U.S. blockades could jeopardize oil production [3]. Group 2: Expert Opinions on Solutions - Oswaldo, Director of the International Energy and Environment Center at the Venezuelan Higher Management Institute, suggests that Venezuela could restore its diluent production capacity within three to four months by allowing domestic and foreign capital to enter for urgent infrastructure repairs [5]. - Another option is to purchase light or medium crude oil from nearby countries like Guyana or Brazil to mix with Venezuela's heavy crude [5]. Group 3: U.S. Political Motivations - Experts believe that the U.S. government's extreme pressure on Venezuela and threats to block oil exports are not only aimed at seizing Venezuela's oil resources but also serve domestic political needs [5]. - Current global oil prices are around $60 per barrel, which is precarious for U.S. shale oil companies, a major source of campaign funding for Trump [5]. - The U.S. is attempting to artificially create supply shortages to raise global oil prices, which would benefit U.S. shale oil producers [7].