Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs Reverse 7-Day Outflow Trend, Can Spot Prices Follow?

Core Insights - Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs experienced their first day of net inflows in weeks, breaking a streak of outflows just before year-end [1][7] - Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $354.8 million, while Ethereum ETFs saw $67.8 million in net inflows, ending a period of significant withdrawals [2][3] - The reversal in inflows is attributed to increased buying interest, possibly from bargain hunters or expectations of a "January effect" [4] Inflow and Outflow Trends - Prior to the inflows, Bitcoin ETFs lost $751 million and Ethereum ETFs lost approximately $564 million during a seven-day outflow period [3] - Total withdrawals from both Bitcoin and Ethereum between December 15 and 19 amounted to around $1.13 billion [2] - The outflows were primarily driven by institutional de-risking, poor holiday liquidity, and tax-loss harvesting strategies [3] Market Dynamics - Historical data indicates a positive correlation between ETF flows and spot prices for Bitcoin and Ethereum, with a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.79 for Ethereum [5] - Unexpected ETF flows have been linked to prolonged price increases for Bitcoin, typically peaking 3-4 days after inflows [6] - The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 is expected to positively impact returns and volatility for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies [8]