Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's potential for further easing of interest rates is sustaining demand for non-yielding assets like gold, despite geopolitical risks and market caution [1][2]. Group 1: Interest Rates and Demand - The FOMC meeting indicated that most policymakers believe there is room for further easing if inflation slows, leading to lower interest rates [1]. - Lower interest rates reduce the cost of holding non-yielding assets, maintaining demand for gold [1]. Group 2: Geopolitical Risks and Market Sentiment - Ongoing geopolitical conflicts have increased uncertainty, prompting investors to favor safe-haven assets such as gold [2]. - The sustainability of gold's price at record levels is questioned, especially in light of potential profit-taking and selling pressure [2][3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Forecast - The CME Group's increase in margin requirements for gold may dampen speculative demand, adding to selling pressure [3]. - Gold is expected to remain supported as long as rate-cut expectations and geopolitical tensions persist [4]. - Short-term forecasts suggest gold may consolidate between $4,350 and $4,450, with buying interest above $4,300 and potential upward movement if it breaks above $4,400 [5].
Gold (XAUUSD) & Silver Price Forecast: XAU Near $4,400, XAG Eyes $76 as Momentum Stabilizes
FX Empire·2026-01-02 08:20