全国平均气温已连续三年暖破纪录，今年冬天又会偏暖吗？

Core Viewpoint - The average national temperature in China for 2025 is projected to reach 11.0℃, surpassing the previous record of 10.9℃ set in 2024, marking the highest temperature since 1961 [1][5]. Group 1: Temperature Records - The average temperature has been consistently breaking historical records, with 2023, 2024, and 2025 being the warmest years on record since 1961 [5]. - A total of 16 provinces and regions, including Xinjiang, Liaoning, and Jiangsu, have recorded their highest temperatures since 1961 [3]. - The top five warmest years have all occurred in the last five years, indicating a trend of increasing temperatures [5]. Group 2: Recent Weather Patterns - December experienced five cold air events, including three significant cold waves, yet the overall temperature remained 2-4℃ higher than the historical average for the month [7]. - Following the recent cold wave, temperatures in southern regions are expected to remain low, with minimum temperatures around 5-6℃ in cities like Fuzhou and Guangzhou [8]. - The forecast indicates a return to normal or above-normal temperatures in many areas of Northeast, North, and Central China in the coming days [10]. Group 3: Long-term Climate Trends - The National Climate Center predicts that most regions will experience temperatures close to or above the historical averages in the near future [12].