Prediction: This Unstoppable BlackRock ETF Will Beat the S&P 500 Again in 2026
The Motley Fool·2026-01-02 10:01

Core Viewpoint - The iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF has shown strong performance driven by major technology companies, particularly in the AI sector, and is expected to continue outperforming the S&P 500 in 2026 [2][12]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF achieved a return of 27.5% in 2025, significantly surpassing the S&P 500's 17.5% return [2]. - Since its inception in 2001, the ETF has consistently outperformed the S&P 500, with a compound annual return of 11.6% compared to the S&P 500's 8.5% [12]. - Over the last decade, the ETF's accelerated compound annual return reached 22.9%, while the S&P 500 grew by 13.4% annually [12]. Group 2: Portfolio Composition - The ETF holds 291 stocks, primarily in the technology sector, with nearly 27% of its portfolio invested in semiconductor stocks [4]. - The top 10 holdings of the ETF account for 56% of its total weight, including major companies like Nvidia (8.92%), Microsoft (8.87%), and Apple (8.55%) [5][6]. - Other notable AI-related stocks in the ETF include Palantir Technologies, which saw a 139% stock gain due to high demand for its AI software products [10][11]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - Major tech companies are expected to increase spending on AI data centers and infrastructure in 2026, which will likely benefit stocks like Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, and Micron [13]. - Cloud platforms operated by Alphabet and Microsoft are experiencing accelerating revenue growth, indicating successful investments in AI infrastructure [13]. - The dynamic nature of the tech sector suggests that even if the AI boom slows, other technologies such as robotics and quantum computing could drive growth for the ETF [14].