RLI Stock Moves Above 50 Day SMA: Buy, Sell or Stay Invested?

Core Insights - RLI Corp. (RLI) shares have gained momentum, trading above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a bullish trend [1][3][8] - The Zacks average price target for RLI is $69.25 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 7.3% from the last closing price [2] - RLI shares have underperformed over the past year, losing 21.6% compared to the industry's growth of 11% [4][20] Company Performance - RLI is a specialty property-casualty (P&C) underwriter focused on niche markets, with a strong local branch office network and a broad range of product offerings [4][13] - The company has a solid dividend track record, having paid dividends for 190 consecutive quarters and increased its regular dividend for 50 straight years, with a five-year compound annual growth rate of 8.8% [16] - RLI's combined ratio remains exemplary, reflecting strong underwriting profitability, and management is focused on enhancing performance by exiting underperforming products [15][20] Financial Metrics - RLI's price-to-book multiple is 3.14, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.52 and the median of 1.37, indicating that the stock is overvalued compared to peers [10][12] - The trailing 12-month return on equity for RLI is 16.5%, well above the industry average of 8%, while return on invested capital is 2.1%, below the industry average of 6.2% [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 revenues indicates a 4.1% year-over-year increase, but earnings are expected to decrease by 10.4% year-over-year [18] Market Position - RLI's focus on product diversification and innovation supports solid business expansion, with sustained rate increases and an expanding distribution network [13] - Compared to peers W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) and Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF), which gained 20.9% and 14.9% respectively over the past year, RLI's performance has lagged [9][20] - Despite its high valuation, RLI is considered an attractive option for income-focused investors due to its impressive dividend history [16][21]