气象人工智能预报模型上新升级——五大模型分工协作赋能千行百业

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) models for meteorological services in China, highlighting the launch of new AI models by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) to enhance weather forecasting and disaster warning capabilities in the context of increasingly complex climate conditions. Group 1: AI Model Developments - The CMA has released the "Fengyuan" AI model and upgraded three other models: "Fengqing," "Fenglei," and "Fengshun," to improve weather forecasting and warning capabilities [1][2] - The "Fenghe" model, with a trillion parameters, is designed for personalized weather services across various sectors, including transportation and health [2] Group 2: Applications and Benefits - The upgraded "Fengshun" model focuses on agricultural, renewable energy, and water resource needs, adding over ten key meteorological factors such as daily maximum and minimum temperatures [3] - The "Fenglei" model has shown a 25% improvement in the quality of severe weather predictions, particularly for thunderstorms and heavy rainfall [4] Group 3: Technological Integration - AI technology is becoming a crucial link between weather forecasting, disaster warning, and emergency response, addressing the challenges posed by extreme weather events [4] - The "Fengyuan" model can directly analyze real-time observational data from satellites and weather stations, enhancing the accuracy of global weather forecasts [5] Group 4: Future Directions - The CMA's strategy for 2025-2035 emphasizes the integration of numerical forecasting with AI to improve simulation and prediction capabilities of Earth's systems [7] - The AI models are expected to significantly enhance forecasting precision and efficiency, with the "Fengqing" model capable of generating 15-day global weather forecasts in just three minutes [7]