气象人工智能预报模型上新升级

Core Insights - The article discusses the advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) models for meteorological services in response to increasing climate variability and extreme weather events, highlighting the launch of new AI models by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) [2][3][4] Group 1: AI Model Developments - The CMA has released the AI model "Fengyuan" and upgraded three other models: "Fengqing," "Fenglei," and "Fengshun," enhancing the precision and timeliness of weather forecasts [2][3] - The "Fenghe" model, with a trillion parameters, is designed to provide personalized weather services across various sectors, including transportation and agriculture [3][4] Group 2: Enhanced Forecasting Capabilities - The upgraded "Fengshun" model focuses on key meteorological factors such as daily maximum/minimum temperatures and solar radiation, significantly improving the ability to respond to agricultural weather disasters [4][5] - The "Fenglei" model has shown a 25% improvement in the quality of severe weather predictions, particularly for thunderstorms and short-term heavy rainfall [5][6] Group 3: Integration of AI in Meteorology - AI technology is becoming a crucial link between weather forecasting, disaster warning, and emergency response, addressing the challenges posed by extreme weather events [5][6] - The "Fengyuan" model can directly analyze real-time observational data from satellites and weather stations, aiming to enhance the accuracy of weather predictions [6][7] Group 4: Future Directions - The CMA's strategy for 2025-2035 emphasizes the integration of numerical forecasting with AI, aiming to improve the simulation and prediction capabilities of Earth system interactions [7] - The AI models are expected to provide higher resolution forecasts and longer prediction periods, significantly enhancing disaster response and decision-making processes [7]