气象人工智能预报模型上新升级 赋能千行百业

Core Insights - The article discusses the advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) models for meteorological services in response to increasing climate variability and extreme weather events, highlighting the launch of new AI models by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) [1][4]. Group 1: AI Model Developments - The CMA has released the AI meteorological model "Fengyuan" and upgraded three other models: "Fengqing," "Fenglei," and "Fengshun," enhancing their capabilities to provide more accurate weather forecasts and warnings [1][3]. - The newly launched "Fenghe" model, with a trillion parameters, collaborates with the other models to improve weather prediction services across various industries [1][2]. Group 2: Applications and Services - AI is deeply integrated into meteorological services, providing personalized travel and health guidance, and supporting decision-making in agriculture, energy, and transportation sectors [2][3]. - The "Fenghe" model can offer tailored solutions based on intelligent analysis, covering multiple scenarios related to weather, such as traffic, tourism, and logistics [2]. Group 3: Precision and Efficiency - The upgraded "Fenglei" model has shown a 25% improvement in the quality of severe weather predictions, particularly for thunderstorms and heavy rainfall [4]. - The "Fengyuan" model can directly analyze real-time observational data from satellites and weather stations, providing global weather forecasts without complex data assimilation processes [5][6]. Group 4: Future Directions - The CMA's strategy for 2025-2035 emphasizes the integration of numerical forecasting with AI to enhance simulation and prediction capabilities of the Earth system [7]. - The AI models are expected to significantly improve forecasting precision, coverage, and computational efficiency, with the "Fengqing" model generating 15-day global weather forecasts in just three minutes [7].