美方称“抓获马杜罗”，未来委内瑞拉局势会怎么走？

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. military action against Venezuela, including the capture of President Maduro, represents a significant violation of international law and sovereignty, reflecting America's strategic intent to reshape control in the Western Hemisphere [1][3][9]. Group 1: U.S. Military Action - On January 3, U.S. President Trump announced the capture of Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife, following airstrikes on various military and strategic locations in Venezuela, including Caracas and military airports [1][2]. - The airstrikes lasted approximately one hour and targeted multiple regions, causing widespread explosions and power outages in Caracas [2]. - The operation was reportedly executed by U.S. Army Delta Force, with prior authorization from Trump, indicating a premeditated military strategy [3][4]. Group 2: International Reactions - China's Foreign Ministry condemned the U.S. actions as a blatant violation of international law and a threat to peace in Latin America, urging the U.S. to respect sovereignty [3]. - The Venezuelan government has called for international support against the U.S. actions, asserting its right to self-defense and demanding proof of Maduro's well-being [4][11]. - Various international figures and countries, including Russia and Cuba, have denounced the U.S. military intervention, emphasizing its illegality and potential for global condemnation [11][10]. Group 3: Implications for Venezuela - The potential capture of Maduro could lead to significant political instability in Venezuela, with concerns about a power vacuum and the fragmented nature of the opposition [6][7]. - Analysts suggest that the U.S. aims to support pro-American opposition forces to gain control over Venezuela's vast oil resources, which have been nationalized under previous administrations [8][9]. - The situation may lead to a prolonged period of political maneuvering, similar to past conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, with no clear path to stability [6][7]. Group 4: Economic Impact - The military actions are likely to create volatility in international oil prices due to Venezuela's status as a major oil producer, with expectations of significant fluctuations in response to the unfolding events [7][10]. - The U.S. intervention is perceived as an attempt to regain influence over Venezuela's oil resources, which have been largely nationalized, limiting U.S. corporate involvement [8][9].