美联储“新年第一鹰”：降不降息取决于经济前景 恐要等到下半年再说

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve officials are currently assessing the economic performance following last year's large-scale easing policies, and further rate cuts may require some time for "settling" [1] Group 1: Economic Outlook - Inflation is expected to ease, and the labor market is anticipated to stabilize, with economic growth projected at around 2% for the year [1] - If these targets are met, a modest adjustment to the federal funds rate may be appropriate later this year [1] Group 2: Future Rate Cuts - A moderate further rate cut is possible by late 2026, contingent on favorable economic conditions [1] - The speaker will have voting rights at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings this year [1]