Market Overview - The US stock market experienced a decline, with the Dow Jones down 0.67%, Nasdaq down 1.52%, and S&P 500 down 1.03% for the week. In contrast, European indices saw gains, with the UK FTSE 100 up 0.86%, Germany's DAX 30 up 0.77%, and France's CAC 40 up 1.03% [1]. Economic Indicators - Upcoming US employment data and ISM manufacturing and services activity data will be critical for assessing the health of the US economy and the potential timing of the next Federal Reserve interest rate cut. The market anticipates an 85% probability that the Fed will maintain rates at the January 28 meeting, with expectations for a 25 basis point cut by June [2]. - The Eurozone inflation data will also be closely watched, with expectations that it will not alter the European Central Bank's current monetary policy stance [7]. Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical tensions have escalated, particularly with the US military's actions against Venezuelan President Maduro, which may impact commodity markets [1][5]. - The upcoming CES 2026 in Las Vegas will feature major tech leaders and could influence the stability of the AI sector [3]. Commodity Markets - Oil prices saw a slight increase, with WTI crude up 1.02% to $57.32 per barrel and Brent crude up 0.85% to $60.75 per barrel. However, both benchmarks have experienced nearly a 20% decline in 2025, marking the largest annual drop since 2020 [4]. - The precious metals market faced significant volatility, with gold futures down 4.40% to $4,332.01 per ounce and silver futures down 7.93% to $70.55 per ounce due to profit-taking and increased margin requirements [5][6]. Upcoming Events - Key economic data releases are scheduled for the upcoming week, including Japan's manufacturing PMI, Australia's service PMI, and various US employment figures, which will provide insights into economic conditions [9].
下周外盘看点丨美国非农紧绷投资者神经 贵金属波动何时休？
Di Yi Cai Jing·2026-01-04 04:55