参考消息：日媒质疑印度数据

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the projected economic growth of India, which is expected to surpass Japan's GDP by 2026, making India the fourth-largest economy in the world, following the US, China, and Germany [1] Economic Projections - India's nominal GDP is forecasted to reach $4.51 trillion in 2026, slightly exceeding Japan's projected GDP of $4.46 trillion [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts India's nominal GDP for 2025 to be $4.13 trillion, while Japan's is estimated at $4.28 trillion [1] Demographic and Economic Factors - India has become the world's most populous country with over 1.4 billion people, and its economy is characterized by a young labor force [1] - Personal consumption, which constitutes about 60% of India's GDP, is steadily growing [1] Economic Disparities - Despite the growth, significant economic disparities exist within India, with the wealthiest 1% controlling approximately 40% of the nation's wealth [1] - The per capita GDP for India in 2025 is projected to be $2,820, compared to Japan's $34,710, indicating a substantial gap in wealth [1] Criticism of Economic Data - Concerns have been raised regarding the accuracy of India's economic statistics, with some economists suggesting that the actual GDP growth rate may be around 2% to 3%, significantly lower than official figures [1] - The economy is divided into a formal sector, which employs 6% of the workforce, and an informal sector, which employs 94%, complicating accurate data collection [1] Political and Social Context - The ruling party faces challenges amid rising public dissatisfaction, particularly in regions with entrenched caste systems and rural areas [1] - The article highlights that the actual economic size of India may be around $2.5 trillion, placing it seventh globally [1]