专家分析委内瑞拉未来局势：若治理不改善，会有新风险和危机

Group 1 - Venezuelan President Maduro has been detained in a Brooklyn facility and is expected to appear in a Manhattan federal court next week facing drug and arms trafficking charges [1][2] - The U.S. Department of Justice has charged Maduro with "drug terrorism conspiracy, cocaine trafficking conspiracy, possession of machine guns and destructive devices, and conspiracy to possess machine guns and destructive devices against the United States" [1] - Experts predict that the U.S. is likely to push for internal elections in Venezuela and support a pro-U.S. transitional government, indicating potential collaboration between anti-Maduro forces and the U.S. [2] Group 2 - There are concerns that if governance issues in Venezuela are not resolved, it could lead to new risks and crises, potentially becoming a state dominated by terrorism, drug trafficking, and smuggling groups, which may foster new anti-U.S. forces [2] - The U.S. may also lead the reconstruction of Venezuela's oil infrastructure, with American companies potentially involved in various sectors such as construction, oil drilling, and mining [2] - If resistance is encountered from the Venezuelan side during these efforts, the U.S. might maintain a low-intensity blockade or intervene in some manner [2]