Just in Time for 2026, Rocket Lab Won Its Biggest Contract Ever

Core Insights - Rocket Lab has secured a significant contract worth $816 million from the U.S. Space Force to build 18 missile tracking satellites, marking its largest contract to date, surpassing a previous $515 million contract awarded in December 2023 [3][11] - The new contract is part of the Space Force's Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture (PWSA), specifically the Tracking Layer Tranche 3 (TRKT3), which focuses on advanced missile tracking capabilities [4][5] - Rocket Lab's participation in this contract alongside major competitors like Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman indicates its growing stature in the space industry [6][7] Contract Details - The TRKT3 contract involves building satellites equipped with advanced missile warning and tracking sensors, enhancing the U.S. military's ability to detect and respond to missile threats [5] - Unlike previous contracts, all satellites in this tranche will include Rocket Lab's proprietary StarLite space protection sensors, which were previously only included in some satellites [8][9] - Rocket Lab anticipates additional revenue of approximately $1 billion from supplying components and solutions to other contractors involved in the TRKT3 project [10] Financial Implications - The total potential revenue from the TRKT3 contract could reach around $1.8 billion, significantly exceeding Rocket Lab's total revenue over the past 12 months [11] - This contract could provide a substantial revenue boost, estimated at roughly 82% of trailing-12-month revenue for each of the next four years leading up to the satellites' deployment in 2029 [11] - Despite the revenue growth potential, Rocket Lab's profit margins from its space systems division are lower compared to its launch services division, which may affect overall profitability from this contract [12] Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the TRKT3 contract, Rocket Lab's stock has increased by 17%, reflecting positive investor sentiment [13] - The company's current valuation is high, priced near 70 times trailing sales, and it remains unprofitable, with expectations of not achieving profitability for another couple of years [13]