How Good Has GE Aerospace Stock Actually Been?

Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace has demonstrated significant stock appreciation, highlighting the effectiveness of a long-term buy-and-hold investment strategy [1][2]. Company Performance - In its first full year as a stand-alone entity, GE Aerospace's stock appreciated nearly 85%, emphasizing its critical role in the aerospace sector and potential for recurring income from servicing commercial aerospace engines [2]. - The company has transformed since 2018, moving away from the challenges faced by General Electric, and now holds a dominant position in commercial aerospace, powering 75% of commercial flights with its engines [3]. Market Position and Business Model - GE Aerospace's CFM International LEAP engine is the exclusive engine for the Boeing 737 MAX and one of two options for the Airbus A320neo family, ensuring a steady income stream from long-term service agreements [4][5]. - The business model operates on a "razor-and-blade" strategy, where engines are sold at low margins to generate substantial service revenue over decades [6]. Service Demand and Revenue Growth - The recovery in flight departures has led to increased service demand, resulting in higher-than-expected service revenue from legacy CFM56 engines, despite slower LEAP engine deliveries due to supply chain issues [8]. - Management anticipates annual revenue growth in the double-digit percentage range from 2025 to 2028, with earnings per share projected to rise from approximately $6.10 in 2025 to $8.40 in 2028 [11]. Future Outlook - Supply chain issues are easing, allowing GE Aerospace to increase LEAP engine deliveries and capitalize on growing commercial engine and services order growth [9]. - The ramp-up in LEAP deliveries may negatively impact margins in the short term but is expected to enhance long-term earnings growth estimates [11].