Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the domestic economy is expected to show moderate growth in 2026, driven by a stable and progressive economic policy and positive changes in both internal and external economic environments [1] - The structure of domestic demand is anticipated to undergo significant changes, with a reduced impact from real estate and an increased emphasis on consumption, particularly in "investing in people" as a key direction for expanding domestic demand [1] - The ongoing "anti-involution" policies are expected to alleviate the supply-demand imbalance, promoting a recovery in corporate profits and improvement in profit margins [1] Group 2 - The market is projected to shift from the extreme conditions of 2025 to a more balanced state in 2026, with the past two years characterized by liquidity chasing scarce assets [1] - In the context of a dual easing fiscal and monetary environment, the renminbi is expected to stabilize and recover in the short term, marking the beginning of value allocation and valuation recovery for Chinese assets [1] - Despite increased volatility in the US stock market, the long-term development trend of AI is accelerating, with significant focus on the commercialization of intelligent agents and investment opportunities in the broader technology sector remaining a key theme for 2026 [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong stock market's decline in Q4 2025 was primarily influenced by liquidity contraction, but current valuations are considered to have high cost-effectiveness [2] - As an offshore market, Hong Kong stocks tend to exhibit greater resilience during the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle, with internet assets possessing both technology and cyclical attributes suitable for left-side positioning [2] - The long-term outlook for the equity market remains optimistic, with a recommendation for balanced investment strategies that consider individual risk preferences, highlighting structural opportunities in cyclical resources, export chains, and core assets [2]
景顺长城郭琳：中国资产配置价值继续凸显 科技投资仍是重要主线
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2026-01-04 17:55