Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the restructuring of the international order and China's industrial innovation will resonate in 2026, supporting the performance of A-shares [1] - The market is expected to show a pattern of rising initially and then stabilizing, with increased volatility and valuation uplift in the context of active capital [1] - Three main lines of focus are suggested: 1) Growth sectors such as AI, which is expected to enter the application realization phase, with opportunities in computing power, optical modules, and cloud computing infrastructure, leaning towards domestic directions; application areas include robotics, consumer electronics, intelligent driving, and software applications [1] 2) External demand breakout, focusing on sectors like home appliances, construction machinery, commercial buses, power grid equipment, gaming, and globally priced resources like non-ferrous metals, in line with the trend of going abroad and exposure to the US [1] 3) Cyclical reversal, with attention to sectors nearing improvement inflection points or supported by policies, such as chemicals, aquaculture, and new energy [1] Group 2 - There is an expectation for capital market policies to further promote a "long-term" and "steady" market [2] - The restructuring of the international monetary system and global capital reallocation could further drive the opening of capital markets, such as expanding the range of foreign investment and encouraging the internationalization of Chinese securities firms [2] - The focus is on supporting financing for innovative enterprises and enhancing market inclusivity while optimizing mechanisms for medium- and long-term capital entry, thereby increasing market stability and resilience [2]
中金公司李求索:2026年国际秩序重构与中国产业创新两大因素共振将支持A股表现