油气股开盘强势上涨！原油储量世界第一的委内瑞拉，产量为何不到1%

Core Viewpoint - The recent military action by the U.S. against Venezuela, including the capture of President Maduro, is expected to lead to significant investments by U.S. oil companies in Venezuela's oil infrastructure, potentially revitalizing the country's oil production and exports [1] Group 1: Venezuela's Oil Production and Exports - Venezuela has proven oil reserves of approximately 303 billion barrels, accounting for 17% of global reserves, but its daily oil production is currently below 1 million barrels, representing less than 1% of global oil production [2] - Venezuela's oil production has sharply declined from over 2 million barrels per day in 2017 to around 300,000 barrels per day in 2020 due to U.S. sanctions during Trump's presidency [2] - As of November 2025, Venezuela's oil production was 934,000 barrels per day, a month-on-month decrease of 2.3%, while the average production for the year was 916,000 barrels per day, reflecting an annual growth of 8.57% [2] Group 2: Export Dynamics - In November 2025, Venezuela's oil export volume was 653,000 barrels per day, a month-on-month decrease of 16.71%, with an average annual export volume of 728,000 barrels per day, showing a year-on-year increase of 10.7% [3] - The geopolitical instability between the U.S. and Venezuela is likely to support oil prices in the short term, but ongoing developments need to be monitored closely [3] Group 3: Market Conditions and Pricing - The oil market is currently facing macroeconomic conditions that do not favor sustained price increases, with discussions within OPEC+ about gradually restoring production, which could lead to a more balanced global supply-demand scenario [3] - The price of WTI and Brent crude oil has dropped approximately 20% from the beginning of 2025, with WTI falling from $72 per barrel to $56 and Brent from $75 to $60 [4] - Venezuela's oil is primarily heavy and extra-heavy crude, which requires special processing and diluents for transportation and refining, resulting in higher extraction and operational costs compared to conventional light crude oil [3]