Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector in China is experiencing a collective rise in stock prices, driven by positive market sentiment and favorable conditions for growth in the insurance industry [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Xinhua Insurance (01336) increased by 4.45%, reaching HKD 58.7 - China Pacific Insurance (02601) rose by 3.04%, reaching HKD 37.3 - Ping An Insurance (02318) saw a 2.17% increase, reaching HKD 68.25 - China Life Insurance (02628) grew by 1.8%, reaching HKD 29.36 [1] Group 2: Liability Side Analysis - The individual insurance channel is expected to face pressure due to factors such as the transformation of dividend insurance and the integration of individual insurance reporting, with overall challenges anticipated until 2025 - Preparations for the 2026 "opening red" are robust, suggesting a potential marginal improvement in the individual insurance channel - The bank insurance channel is likely to maintain high growth due to the trend of residents moving deposits, while health insurance is expected to improve under policy guidance, leading to a positive outlook for the liability side growth of insurance companies in 2026 [1] Group 3: Asset Side Analysis - Stabilization of long-term interest rates and a favorable equity market are beneficial for net assets and profitability of insurance companies - Marginal improvement in liability costs is expected to enhance the interest spread for insurance companies in the medium to long term, leading to a recovery in valuations - With the stabilization and recovery of long-term interest rates, insurance company valuations are anticipated to approach 1x PEV, with recommendations for China Pacific Insurance, Ping An Insurance, and China Life Insurance H shares [1]
港股异动 | 内险股集体走高 险企开门红备战充分 中长期看险企利差有望逐步向好