化工龙头ETF（516220）涨超0.9%，供需格局改善或推动估值修复

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that since Q3 2025, global manufacturing has shown signs of recovery, but the chemical product PPI has weakened year-on-year, with domestic real estate demand at a cyclical bottom [1] - The sales of new energy vehicles continue to grow significantly, and retail sales growth is stable and improving [1] - On the supply side, China has become a global leader in the chemical industry, while the manufacturing and chemical production capacity utilization rates in the EU are declining, with domestic conditions remaining relatively stable [1] Group 2 - In terms of capital expenditure, domestic basic chemical fixed asset investment growth has turned negative, but oversupply continues to exert short-term pressure on prices, with the inventory cycle in a passive replenishment phase [1] - The price spread of bulk chemicals remains at historical lows, while resource-based enterprises maintain relatively high ROE [1] - Market trends show that sectors with improving conditions, such as fluorine chemicals and phosphate and potassium fertilizers, are performing well, alongside price increases in smaller varieties driven by accidents [1] Group 3 - The chemical leader ETF (516220) tracks a sub-index of the chemical sector (000813), which selects listed companies involved in fertilizers, pesticides, and coatings to reflect the overall performance of the chemical industry [1] - The index constituents are representative enterprises in their respective fields, with a style allocation that balances growth and value, aiming to capture diverse investment opportunities in the chemical industry [1]