A股新年开门红！沪指重返4000点 专家：春季行情已开启

Market Performance - On the first trading day of 2026, A-shares experienced a positive start with all three major indices rising. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4023.42, up 1.38%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 13828.63, up 2.24%, and the ChiNext Index at 3294.55, up 2.85%. The total market turnover reached 25,672 billion yuan, with over 4,100 stocks rising [1]. Sector Highlights - The brain-computer interface sector led the gains, with stocks like Beiyikang hitting the daily limit of 30% increase. Other notable performers included Botai Biology, Daoshi Technology, Sanbo Brain Science, Aipeng Medical, and Dinake, which saw 20% increases. The innovative drug concept stocks also surged, with Guanhao Biology reaching a 20% limit up, alongside Selly Medical, Zhaoyan New Drug, and Kanghong Pharmaceutical [2]. - The insurance sector saw significant gains, with Xinhua Insurance rising over 8% and China Pacific Insurance up over 7%. The commercial aerospace sector also performed well, with stocks like Puni Testing, Yunhan Chip City, Danghong Technology, and Xice Testing hitting 20% limits [2]. Economic Outlook - The chief economist of Qianhai Open Source Fund, Yang Delong, believes that technology stocks will remain a key theme throughout 2025 and that the technology bull market is likely to continue into 2026. This optimism is attributed to China's economic transition and the focus on technological innovation in the 14th Five-Year Plan, which is expected to attract significant capital inflow [2]. - Yang Delong also noted that the logic supporting the current bull market remains unchanged, including policy support, a significant shift in household savings, and breakthroughs in technological innovation that have boosted foreign confidence in the Chinese economy. Additionally, the ongoing interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the depreciation of the US dollar are expected to attract more foreign capital into RMB assets, leading to asset value reassessment [2]. Seasonal Trends - The A-share market typically experiences a "spring offensive," with January often seeing the highest credit issuance of the year, generally between 30,000 to 40,000 billion yuan, which helps channel funds into the capital market. The first quarter is also a period of low earnings disclosures for listed companies, favoring investments in technology sectors with potential themes and valuation elasticity [3]. - The spring market has already begun, with the index continuing its upward trend. Yang Delong advises investors to maintain confidence and patience. Galaxy Securities also highlighted that the performance of the Hong Kong stock market and the strengthening of the RMB during the holiday period could boost investor confidence, suggesting that the A-share market may continue its structural trend [3].