龙蟠科技刚宣布减产检修又投20亿扩产 负债率升至近80%再破新高

Core Viewpoint - Longpan Technology plans to invest up to 2 billion yuan to build a 240,000-ton high-pressure lithium iron phosphate production base, with construction starting in Q1 2026 and production expected by Q3 2026 [1] Company Summary - Longpan Technology's subsidiary, Changzhou Liyuan, commits to a production capacity of no less than 120,000 tons per year after the first phase, while also planning to increase its existing capacity from 62,500 tons to 100,000 tons per year [1] - The company reported interest-bearing liabilities of 9.576 billion yuan as of mid-2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.90%, with an asset-liability ratio of 52.89% [1] - By the end of Q3 2025, the asset-liability ratio rose to 79.24%, up from 78.41% in mid-2025 [1] - Despite raising 1.846 billion yuan through financing activities, the company's cash balance can cover over 70% of short-term borrowings as of mid-2025 [1] Industry Summary - The lithium iron phosphate industry is facing unprecedented challenges, with average market prices at 14,704.8 yuan per ton in November 2025, while production costs range from 16,798.2 yuan to 17,216.3 yuan per ton, leading to losses of approximately 2,000 to 2,500 yuan per ton produced [2][3] - Major companies, including Longpan Technology, have announced production cuts scheduled for January 2026 due to these market pressures [2] - The industry has seen a significant increase in production, with a total output of 3.48 million tons from January to November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 57.9% [4] - Market forecasts suggest that global shipments of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials could reach 5.25 million tons in 2026, a 36% increase year-on-year [5]