在产蛋鸡存栏跌破13亿只！国家发改委：蛋鸡养殖每只亏损25.87元

Core Viewpoint - The egg price is expected to remain low in 2025 due to high inventory of laying hens and lack of accelerated capacity elimination in the industry [1][6] Group 1: Inventory and Production - The inventory of laying hens dropped to 1.295 billion in December 2025, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.07 billion, while the main production area accounts for over 80% of the total [3][8] - The age structure of laying hens is relatively young, with the main production hens making up 80.12% of the inventory, compared to 75% in 2022, indicating challenges in capacity elimination [3][8] - The sales of commercial broiler chicks have started to recover since November 2025, but the industry has not yet entered a phase of accelerated capacity elimination [3][8] Group 2: Financial Performance - The National Development and Reform Commission reported a loss of 25.87 yuan per laying hen as of December 29, 2025 [4][9] - The current egg price is 6.00 yuan per kilogram, with feed prices at 2.64 yuan per kilogram, resulting in an egg-to-feed price ratio of 2.35, which is a decrease of 2.08% from the previous week [5][9] - The overall market conditions indicate that the egg price is at a low point, with a slight reluctance to sell from the farming sector, although demand may improve temporarily due to pre-holiday stocking [10]