元旦假期后货源将好转？钾肥价格怎么走？

Group 1: Potash Market Overview - The domestic potash market remained stable during the New Year holiday, with no significant fluctuations observed [1][3] - Chloride potash prices are supported by tight supply and gradually recovering demand, maintaining high levels [1][3] - Domestic potash production companies are entering maintenance periods, limiting capacity release and further reducing output [1][3] Group 2: Pricing and Supply Dynamics - The official arrival price for 60% powder crystal chloride potash in Qinghai is at 3100 yuan per ton, with market circulation prices ranging from 3150 to 3200 yuan [1][3] - Port inventory of imported potash remains between 2.4 million to 2.45 million tons, with supply tightness affecting both imported and domestic potash availability [1][3] - Prices for port 62% white potash are between 3150 and 3500 yuan, with low prices serving as guidance and high prices seeing limited transactions [1][3] Group 3: Sulfate Potash Market Conditions - The sulfate potash market prices are stable but under pressure due to high overall industry costs, with many processing sulfate potash companies operating at a loss [2][4] - The operating rate for processing sulfate potash plants is around 45%, with previous inventory pressures easing [2][4] - The price for 52% fully water-soluble powder sulfate potash is approximately 3950 yuan, with sales conditions being average and cost pressures evident [2][4] Group 4: Market Outlook - The overall demand for potash remains with potential for release, but the tight supply situation is unlikely to change fundamentally in the short term, providing price support [2][4] - Policy regulation pressures are significant, and as supply conditions improve, prices may face downward adjustment pressure [2][4] - Industry insiders predict that potash prices are likely to remain stable in the short term, with limited volatility expected [2][4]