巨星科技(002444.SZ)：预计2025年净利润同比增长5%～20%

Group 1 - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2,418.81 million yuan to 2,764.35 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.00% to 20.00% [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be 2,308.81 million yuan to 2,654.35 million yuan, indicating a growth of 0.20% to 15.20% compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - In 2025, the company's production and delivery pace was significantly impacted in the second quarter due to fluctuations in the international trade environment, although overseas production capacity is expected to normalize later [2] - Domestic production capacity continues to be negatively affected by tariffs, leading to a notable decline in industry sales as additional tariff costs have increased average selling prices [2] - The company is accelerating its internationalization and product innovation efforts, with new capacities in Vietnam and Thailand and significant growth in new products, particularly electric tools, expected to keep annual revenue roughly flat year-on-year [2] Group 3 - Despite some negative impacts from the RMB to USD exchange rate, the company's high level of internationalization and product innovation efficiency has significantly reduced the sensitivity of profitability to exchange rate fluctuations [2] - The increase in direct sales through cross-border e-commerce and new product sales is expected to effectively enhance the gross profit margin [2] - The company anticipates additional expenses of 10 million USD due to the relocation of the Arrow factory in the fourth quarter, along with foreign exchange losses affecting the net profit for that quarter [2] Group 4 - Recent new orders have shown a year-on-year increase, and the company plans to actively develop new businesses and products in 2026 to return to a reasonable growth range [2]