ZTO Stock Up 11.4% in 3 Months: Can the Momentum Be Sustained in 2026?

Core Insights - ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO) shares have surged 11.4% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Transportation sector's 9% rise [1][7] Company Performance - ZTO's growth is driven by the broader momentum in China's express delivery sector, with national parcel volumes exceeding 150 billion, indicating strong consumer demand and an improving economy [4] - The company reported a 9.8% year-over-year increase in parcel volumes for Q3 2025, with revenues from its core express delivery services unit rising 11.6% year over year [5][7] - ZTO expects parcel volume for 2025 to reach between 38.2 billion and 38.7 billion, reflecting a solid year-over-year growth of 12.3% to 13.8% [5] Financial Stability - ZTO's current ratio improved from 0.96 in Q3 2024 to 1.38 in Q3 2025, indicating enhanced financial stability and the ability to meet short-term obligations [6] Market Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for full-year 2025 and 2026 has been revised upward by 9.2% and 10.1% respectively over the past 60 days, reflecting positive market sentiment [8]