跨境电商的这一年：关税、贸易战、驶离美国

Core Viewpoint - The cross-border e-commerce industry is facing significant challenges in 2025 due to escalating tariffs and stricter regulations, leading to increased operational costs and uncertainty for sellers [2][3][4]. Group 1: Tariff and Regulatory Changes - In January 2025, the U.S. initiated a review of trade deficits and tariff structures, leading to a series of tariff increases on Chinese goods, culminating in a total tariff rate of 145% by April [4][5]. - The U.S. also eliminated the tax exemption for small packages valued under $800, impacting many cross-border sellers targeting the U.S. market [4][6]. - Other countries, including the EU and Japan, are also planning to impose tariffs on low-value imports starting in 2026, indicating a global trend towards stricter trade policies [6]. Group 2: Impact on Sellers - The increased tariffs have made it difficult for many sellers to maintain profitability, with some reporting that the cost of tariffs has rendered certain products unviable for sale [7]. - Sellers are now facing higher operational costs due to new tax regulations, which could compress profit margins significantly, especially for low-margin products [6][7]. - The need to adapt to these changes has led sellers to seek ways to optimize supply chains and shift focus towards higher-value products [8]. Group 3: Industry Evolution - The cross-border e-commerce sector is transitioning from a phase of rapid growth to one of refined operations, with platforms actively filtering out low-quality sellers [10][12]. - Major platforms like Temu and TikTok Shop are increasing entry barriers for sellers, indicating a shift away from the "low-price" competition model [11][12]. - The industry is witnessing a consolidation phase where only those with robust operational capabilities and compliance awareness will thrive [10][19]. Group 4: Strategic Shifts - Platforms are increasingly focusing on localizing their operations to better serve overseas markets and mitigate tariff impacts [20]. - The use of AI tools is becoming a key growth driver, with platforms enhancing their efficiency and marketing capabilities through advanced technologies [22][27]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with platforms moving towards long-term strategies rather than relying solely on price wars [18][19].