开年即“开工” 稳投资提速起跑

Group 1 - Multiple regions in China, including Shanghai, Fujian, and Yunnan, have initiated significant projects for 2026, aiming to "expand domestic demand" and "seize the beginning of the year" through project construction [1] - On January 5, Shandong Province issued the first batch of 2026 local government special bonds, indicating an earlier start to the issuance of new local government bonds compared to last year [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission has approved a batch of major infrastructure projects with a total investment exceeding 400 billion yuan to accelerate project construction [1][2] Group 2 - Infrastructure investment is expected to be the primary driver of economic growth in 2026, with increased investment in infrastructure seen as a powerful policy tool to address insufficient effective demand [2] - As of January 5, 27 provinces and cities have announced plans to issue local government bonds in the first quarter, with a proposed issuance scale exceeding 2 trillion yuan, including over 670 billion yuan in new special bonds [2] - The estimated scale of new special bonds for this year is projected to be between 4.5 trillion yuan and 5 trillion yuan, with potential optimization in their use to support major projects and local debt [2] Group 3 - The Ministry of Finance has not arranged for the issuance of ultra-long special government bonds in the first quarter of 2026, but the National Development and Reform Commission has issued a list of "two heavy" construction projects and a central budget investment plan totaling approximately 295 billion yuan [3] - More proactive fiscal policies are expected to accelerate infrastructure investment, with an estimated growth rate of around 5% for the year, supported by measures such as optimizing "two heavy" construction and issuing special bonds [3]