东方证券:维持吉利汽车(00175)买入评级 目标价23.02港元
智通财经网·2026-01-05 09:32

Core Viewpoint - Geely Auto is leveraging a "dual fuel" strategy to mitigate the impact of declining new energy subsidies and is accelerating its overseas expansion, targeting an export volume of 1 million units by 2027 [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Geely Auto achieved a sales target of 3 million units, with a goal of 3.45 million units by 2026 [2] - In December, Geely's total sales reached 236,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, with new energy vehicle sales at 154,300 units, up 38.7% [2] - The company expects to sell 3.02 million units in 2025, a 39.0% year-on-year increase, and aims for 3.45 million units in 2026, representing a 14.1% growth [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The "dual fuel" strategy is expected to counteract the effects of subsidy reductions in 2026, with plans to sell 2.22 million new energy vehicles, a 31.5% increase [3] - Geely's exports in December reached 40,300 units, a 49.0% year-on-year increase, with total annual exports at 420,100 units, up 1.3% [3] - The company is expanding into 13 new international markets, including the UK, Italy, and Brazil, with significant progress in local production facilities [3] Group 3: Brand Development - The premium brands Zeekr and Lynk & Co showed strong sales in December, with Zeekr selling 30,300 units (up 11.3%) and Lynk & Co selling 33,800 units (up 29.4%) [4] - The average transaction price for Zeekr 9X exceeded 530,000 yuan, making it a leader in the large SUV segment, while Lynk & Co 900 has delivered over 50,000 units in six months [4] - Following the privatization of Zeekr, the integration is expected to enhance strategic synergy and scale effects, supporting brand elevation and profitability [4] Group 4: Financial Projections - The forecasted net profit for Geely Auto is 17.04 billion yuan in 2025, 20.60 billion yuan in 2026, and 24.32 billion yuan in 2027 [5] - The target price is set at 20.79 yuan per share, equivalent to 23.02 HKD, maintaining a buy rating [5]

Orient Securities-东方证券:维持吉利汽车(00175)买入评级 目标价23.02港元 - Reportify