Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is nearing the point of stopping interest rate cuts, with a focus on balancing concerns between a slowing labor market and persistent inflation [3][8]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Insights - Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated that the Fed is close to a "neutral" policy stance and requires more data to determine whether inflation or the labor market is more concerning [3][8]. - The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in January is 81.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 18.3% [3][8]. - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 43.2%, with a 49.6% chance of maintaining rates, and a 7.2% chance of a 50 basis point cut [3][8]. Group 2: Currency Exchange Rate - As of January 6, the RMB to USD central parity rate is reported at 7.0173, reflecting an increase of 57 points [2][6].
人民币兑美元中间价报7.0173，上调57点
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-06 01:23