特稿丨2026，世界七大悬念

Group 1: Geopolitical Tensions - The U.S. military's recent raid in Venezuela represents a significant violation of international law and may lead to various geopolitical repercussions in Latin America [2][4] - The political landscape in Latin America could shift further to the right due to the U.S. actions and the outcomes of upcoming elections in Brazil, Colombia, and Peru [4] - The ongoing conflict in Gaza remains unresolved, with a complex negotiation process ahead that involves key issues such as disarmament and reconstruction [5][7] Group 2: Global Economic Outlook - The IMF predicts a global economic growth rate of 3.1% for 2026, a decline from previous years, influenced by U.S. tariff policies and rising protectionism [20][22] - Despite uncertainties, there are signs of resilience in the global economy, particularly with increased South-South trade and investment flows [22] - China is expected to play a crucial role in providing stability and opportunities for global economic governance in 2026 [22] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) is anticipated to drive significant changes across various sectors, creating new economic growth points [17][19] - However, the swift evolution of AI also poses governance challenges, including risks related to data misuse and investment bubbles [19] Group 4: Political Dynamics in Japan and the U.S. - Japan's political landscape is under scrutiny as Prime Minister Kishi's rightward shift raises concerns about militarism and regional stability [14][16] - The upcoming U.S. midterm elections are expected to exacerbate political divisions, impacting domestic and foreign policies, including those related to Ukraine and the Middle East [11][13]