Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, with the popular ETF, Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876), reaching a historical high and attracting substantial capital inflows, indicating strong market confidence in the sector's future performance [1][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector led the market with a 94.73% increase in 2025, outperforming all other sectors [3][13]. - As of January 6, 2026, Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) saw a price increase of 4.4%, marking a four-day consecutive rise and a trading volume of 46.22 million yuan, nearing the previous day's total [1][8]. - The ETF has recorded a net subscription of 36.6 million units, reflecting a total net inflow of 56.48 million yuan over the past four days, indicating strong investor interest [1][8]. Group 2: Fundamental Support - In the third quarter of 2025, 56 out of 60 companies in the leading non-ferrous ETF reported profits, with 44 companies showing year-on-year growth in net profit, highlighting robust earnings in the sector [4][10]. - Notably, Chujiang New Materials reported a staggering 20-fold increase in net profit, while 10 other companies also saw triple-digit growth [4][10]. Group 3: Macro and Policy Factors - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are driving up non-ferrous metal prices by devaluing the dollar, making metals cheaper and boosting global demand [3][9]. - Emerging industries such as renewable energy, AI, and aerospace are driving demand, while supply remains constrained, exacerbating the supply-demand imbalance and pushing prices higher [4][10]. - Policies aimed at stabilizing growth in the non-ferrous metal industry, including the "anti-involution" initiative and significant infrastructure projects, are expected to support the sector [4][10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the non-ferrous metal sector will continue to thrive, with expectations of a bull market driven by monetary policy, demand, and supply dynamics in 2026 [4][11]. - The continuation of the "super cycle" in non-ferrous metals is likely contingent on the recovery of dollar credit, strategic stockpiling, and the effectiveness of supportive policies [5][11].
“行业涨幅王”有色!还能再涨吗?有色ETF华宝(159876)暴拉4.4%!场内价格、规模齐创新高,资金狂涌!
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-06 02:42