扩内需政策信号传导至资本市场 结构性机会陆续涌现

Group 1 - The 2025 Central Economic Work Conference prioritizes "domestic demand as the main driver, building a strong domestic market," signaling a positive outlook for the A-share retail and food and beverage sectors, which have recently surged [1] - Analysts note that the current domestic demand expansion policy features "income enhancement, supply optimization, and precise investment," presenting a dual opportunity for valuation recovery and performance growth in related sectors [1] - The focus of policy is shifting from traditional "stimulating consumption" to a deeper logic of "income enhancement and supply optimization," indicating that consumption opportunities will exhibit structural characteristics [1] Group 2 - The implementation of urban and rural resident income enhancement plans is expected to directly boost consumer spending capacity, benefiting mass consumer goods and inclusive finance sectors [1] - Data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that in November 2025, the core CPI rose by 1.2% year-on-year, with air ticket and housekeeping service prices increasing by 7.0% and 2.4%, respectively [1] - The retail sales of services grew by 5.4% year-on-year in the first eleven months of 2025, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 1.3 percentage points, with segments like cultural and sports leisure services maintaining double-digit growth [1] Group 3 - From the perspective of consumption upgrading, domestic brands, health care, and cultural tourism are entering a rapid development phase due to rising incomes and changing consumer attitudes [2] - The "concert economy" and health tourism are emerging as new business models with long-term growth logic, indicating a shift in the consumption market from quantitative growth to qualitative leaps [2] - The 2025 Central Economic Work Conference's emphasis on "stabilizing and recovering investment" is gaining attention, with a focus on enhancing "efficiency and structure" in investment projects [2]