黄金惊人暴涨后如何走？FXStreet首席分析师金价技术前景分析 非农领衔本周就业数据潮

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent surge in gold prices driven by geopolitical tensions and weak U.S. economic data, particularly following U.S. military actions in Venezuela, which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold [2][3]. Market Performance - On January 6, gold prices reached approximately $4,460 per ounce after a significant increase of $116.61, or 2.69%, closing at $4,448.87 per ounce [4][15]. - Gold prices previously hit a historical high of $4,549.71 per ounce on December 26 [4][15]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for December fell to 47.9, below the expected 48.3, marking the tenth consecutive month of contraction in the manufacturing sector, down from 48.2 in November [4][15]. - Upcoming U.S. labor market data releases are anticipated to be significant, including the ADP employment change report and the non-farm payroll report [4][15]. Technical Analysis - The 20-period simple moving average (SMA) has turned upward but remains below the rising 100-period SMA, both around $4,370 per ounce, indicating a bullish trend [5][16]. - The 200-period SMA is rising to $4,267 per ounce, providing structural support for larger trends [5][16]. - Momentum indicators are above zero and expanding, suggesting increasing buying interest, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 60, aligning with the prevailing bullish trend [6][17]. Additional Insights - On the daily chart, gold prices rebounded after testing the bullish 20-day SMA at $4,343 per ounce, which has crossed above the bullish 100-day and 200-day SMAs, reinforcing the bullish outlook [8][19].