石化ETF(159731)涨超3.4%,行业景气周期向上预期支撑长期逻辑
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-06 03:48

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, supported by rising stock prices and increased investment in related ETFs, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 6, 2026, the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index rose by 3.61%, with key stocks such as Hengli Petrochemical up by 8.13% and Luxi Chemical up by 7.87% [1]. - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) increased by 3.47%, reaching a latest price of 0.95 yuan [1]. - Over the past eight trading days, the Petrochemical ETF attracted a total of 24.46 million yuan in inflows, with a significant increase of 25 million shares in the past month, bringing the total size to 246 million yuan, a one-year high [1]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - Wanhua Chemical has continuously raised global prices for core products such as MDI/TDI since December 2025, aligning with price adjustments from international giants like BASF and Dow, driven by industry-wide maintenance and rising raw material costs [1]. - The China Sulfuric Acid Industry Association, in collaboration with the Phosphate Fertilizer Association, held a meeting to ensure the supply of sulfuric acid resources for phosphate fertilizer production, aiming to stabilize agricultural supply for the spring planting season [1]. - The macroeconomic indicators and valuation levels suggest that the chemical sector is likely entering a new upward cycle, supported by ongoing policy guidance for capacity reduction and a global demand recovery, benefiting companies with cost advantages [1]. Group 3: Key Stocks - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index as of December 31, 2025, include Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, and China Petrochemical, collectively accounting for 56.73% of the index [2]. - Notable stock performances include Wanhua Chemical at 7.25% increase and China Petroleum at 1.39% increase, with their respective weights in the index being 10.47% and 7.63% [4].