研报掘金|中金:维持吉利汽车“跑赢行业”评级 多品牌协同提升盈利能力
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-06 06:40

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that Geely Auto is expected to achieve passenger car sales of approximately 3.0246 million units in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 39%, surpassing the company's original target of 3 million units [1] Sales Growth - The significant sales growth is attributed to the rich product matrix of the Galaxy brand, with the Xingyuan model expected to sell over 40,000 units per month [1] - New models such as A7, Xingyao 6, Xingyao 8, and M9 are set to launch within the year, driving a projected 150% year-on-year growth in Galaxy brand sales for 2025 [1] Export Performance - Export sales are anticipated to grow by 1% year-on-year to 420,000 units, maintaining overall stability [1] Profitability Outlook - The integration of Geely, Zeekr, and Lynk & Co brands is expected to gradually release synergies in production management, enhancing profitability as the product cycle improves [1] - Due to the upward product cycle and multi-brand collaboration, the net profit forecasts for Geely for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 3.2% and 8.9% to 17.5 billion yuan and 21.5 billion yuan, respectively, with a first-time introduction of a net profit estimate of 24.9 billion yuan for 2027 [1] Rating and Target Price - The company maintains an "outperforming the industry" rating with a target price of 26 HKD [1]