瑞银：海南元旦假期免税销售同比增长129% 看好中国中免和上海机场

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Hainan's duty-free sales from January 1 to 3 increased by 129% year-on-year to 712 million yuan, with the number of duty-free shoppers rising by 61% [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - The average duty-free spending per person is estimated at 8,527 yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.5% [1] - The quantity of purchased goods also saw a year-on-year growth of 52.4% [1] - All reported data exceeded market expectations [1] Group 2: Factors Driving Growth - The strong sales growth is attributed to the relaxation of shopping policy restrictions for local residents and departing travelers in Hainan since October of the previous year, which has boosted shopper traffic [1] - Significant increases in average spending are driven by luxury categories such as clothing, footwear, handbags, jewelry, and mobile products [1] - Local government continues to provide subsidies for duty-free shopping [1] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company is optimistic about China Duty Free Group's A-shares and H-shares, setting target prices at 99.59 yuan and 90.73 Hong Kong dollars, respectively, with a "buy" rating [1] - The company also has a positive outlook on Shanghai Airport, as new contracts may help the company return to a high growth trajectory, alongside no significant capital expenditures, which is expected to improve return on equity [1]