Google's 'Cannibalization' Risk Vs Microsoft's Azure Growth: Expert Explains How AI Answers Could Slash GOOG's Ad Revenue - Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL)
Benzinga·2026-01-06 08:33

Core Insights - The AI race is intensifying, with analysts divided on the future of tech giants, particularly Google and Microsoft, as generative AI could disrupt Google's advertising revenue while benefiting Microsoft's cloud growth [1] Group 1: Google's Challenges - Google faces an existential threat as it must disrupt its own profitable business model to remain relevant in the age of generative AI [2] - Generative AI provides direct answers to users, reducing the need for clicks on search links, which are essential for Google's revenue [3] - Data indicates that users are less likely to click on other sites when presented with AI-generated answers compared to traditional search results [3] Group 2: Microsoft's Advantages - Microsoft is viewed as a safer investment due to its Azure cloud platform, which has seen a 35% growth, and its core products like Windows and Microsoft 365 are less likely to be disrupted by AI [4] - Analysts favor Microsoft's position heading into 2025 and 2026 due to its significant AI upside without the internal disruption risks faced by Google [4] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - There is a consensus on the investment potential in the infrastructure required to support AI, including data centers and networking [5] - Specific recommendations include Micron Technology Inc. and Lam Research Corp. as beneficiaries of the increasing demand for DRAM memory needed for large AI models [5] Group 4: Stock Performance - Alphabet's Class A shares have surged by 76% over the last six months and 65% over the past year, with the stock priced at $316.54 [6]