ATFX:美元指数先涨后跌 马杜罗事件冲击美元信用

Group 1: Dollar Index Movement - The dollar index experienced a unique trading pattern, initially rising significantly before a sharp decline, closing with a long upper shadow on the daily candlestick chart [1][5] - The highest point reached was 98.83, while the lowest was 98.22, with the current trading session continuing the downward trend, hitting a low of 98.17 [1][5] - The dollar index is currently fluctuating within a range of 96.34 to 100.23, with a potential further decline expected [10] Group 2: Venezuelan Political Situation - A significant event was the U.S. control over Venezuelan President Maduro, who was secretly sent to New York for judicial proceedings, where he declared his innocence and maintained his presidential claim [6] - This incident highlights U.S. dominance in South America but may harm the credibility of the dollar, as other countries may fear similar actions [6] - The situation could lead to central banks increasing their gold reserves while reducing dollar reserves, potentially damaging the dollar's long-term credibility [6] Group 3: U.S. Economic Data Impact - Recent U.S. economic data, specifically the December ISM Manufacturing PMI, showed a decline to 47.9, below both the previous value of 48.2 and the expected 48.3, indicating ongoing contraction in the manufacturing sector [2][3] - The breakdown of the ISM data revealed a drop in the production index from 51.4 to 51, while the employment index slightly improved to 44.9, and the inventory index fell significantly to 45.2 [3][7] - The overall negative sentiment from these manufacturing data releases has contributed to a bearish outlook for the dollar index [2][3]