1月6日白银晚评：美元2026年走势充满悬念 银价近期偏向上行

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the volatility in the dollar and silver markets driven by the Federal Reserve's cautious interest rate adjustments and the U.S. government's fiscal expansion under the new "Great Beautiful Act" [2][6] - The current price of spot silver is reported at $78.32 per ounce, with a trading range today between a high of $79.34 and a low of $75.84 [4][5] - The Federal Reserve plans to set the benchmark interest rate at 3.4% by the end of 2026, while the market anticipates a reduction to 3.0%, creating a significant divergence that could lead to volatility in the dollar [6][3] Group 2 - The analysis indicates that the U.S. economy will be a key observation point in 2026, with expectations of leading global growth, contrasting with stagnation in the European economy, which may lead to aggressive rate cuts by the European Central Bank [6][2] - The upward trend in silver prices is supported by technical indicators, including the 100-hour simple moving average (SMA) and a positive MACD, suggesting bullish momentum [7][3] - Key resistance levels for silver are identified at $78.06, $79.00, and $80.00, while support levels are noted at $75.00 and $74.55 [7][3]